点击上方蓝字【分析师卢】，置顶公众号和设为星标，即可第一时间接收卢卡第一手赛事分析和咨询！这是卢卡唯一的公众号，其余的均为假冒，请大家注意甄别！！！

个人简介

Introduction Information

Hello everyone, I'm Lucas! A data analyst from Europe is responsible for foot basket data calculation during his tenure at a data company in Europe, which specializes in collecting and analyzing sports data, and then using this data to predict games. Through accurate data analytics, powerful models are used to calculate the probability of various outcomes in a game, and then these probabilities are used to find "valuable" (that is, undervalued) options in the market for accurate investment, so as to achieve long-term profits.

There are no absolute certainties in games, no matter how confident a game may seem, it is not guaranteed to be 100% correct. However, I can assure you that as long as you make long-term choices, you will see a positive trend. This is not a game, it is a long-term investment that must be aimed at a cycle.

翻译：比赛是是没有绝对的，哪怕再有把握的比赛也不一定能百分百中，但是我能保证大家只要长期的选择，你能得到一个正向的走势，这不是游戏，这是一场长期的投资，必须要以周期为目标。

回归和展望 Review and prospect

澳超大满贯，昨天公推+私厨都有不错的发挥，有图有真相（部分战绩图）！！！

首先特惠先奉上！文章最末尾还有免费的德甲公推

Luka 足球 Super Model 特惠

001 澳超 12:00 奥克兰FCvs墨尔本城

Luka 足球 Super Model 特惠

002 澳超 14:00 悉尼FCvs布里斯班狮吼

Luka 足球 Super Model 特惠

003 澳超 16:35 阿德莱德联vs墨尔本胜利

欧洲数据-Luka 足球 精品模型！

005 英超 20:30 纽卡斯尔联vs伯恩茅斯

欧洲数据-Luka 足球 精品模型！

015 英超 23:00 布伦特福德vs利物浦

欧洲数据-Luka 足球 精品模型！

021 意甲 01:00 尤文图斯vsAC米兰

解读

Public announcement

027 西甲 04:00 赫塔菲vs巴塞罗那

英文原文：

In the upcoming 20th round of La Liga, Getafe will host Barcelona. Getafe's morale is high after defeating Pontevedra 1-0 in the Copa del Rey, achieving two consecutive victories in official matches. Although Getafe primarily relies on home games for points and faces the Rich and powerful family Barcelona, their defensive capabilities should not be underestimated. They have only conceded 16 goals in the league this season, making them the third-least conceding team in the league. In the past six encounters with Barcelona, Getafe has only allowed the Opponent to score more than one goal in one match.

Barcelona, the away team, is also in good form. They defeated Real Betis 5-1 in the Copa del Rey, winning all four official matches since 2025. As a club with a rich history, Barcelona has performed exceptionally well in offense this season, averaging the most goals per game in the league. Their front-line trio maintains a stable status, and their away performances are even better than their home games, with a 70% away win rate.

Looking at their recent league performances, Getafe has won three and lost three in the last six matches, demonstrating strong ability to split wins and losses. Despite a lackluster attack, their defensive ability to concede only half a goal per home game is crucial for scoring points at home. Moreover, they have won the index in four matches, showcasing the team's resilience. Barcelona, on the other hand, has had a subpar status in the league, with one win, two draws, and three losses in the last six matches. Continuous point losses have distanced them from the La Liga title. Despite their strong offense, their poor defense is an urgent issue that needs addressing. In historical confrontations, Getafe is at a disadvantage but has shown good index-winning ability.

Considering all factors, despite Barcelona's poor performance in the league, their improved form in cup matches and historical dominance make them a focus of market attention. Therefore, this match status support the home team, Getafe, and suggests that Barcelona should not be overly trusted. We choose to stand with the home team.

中文翻译：

即将到来的第20轮西甲比赛，赫塔菲将在主场迎战巴塞罗那。赫塔菲近期士气高涨，他们在国王杯中1-0战胜庞特维德拉，取得了正式比赛的两连胜。虽然赫塔菲主要依靠主场拿分，且面对的是豪门巴塞罗那，但他们的防守能力不容小觑，本赛季联赛仅丢了16球，是联赛中失球第三少的球队。在过去6次与巴萨的交锋中，赫塔菲仅有一场让对手攻入超过一球。

客队巴塞罗那同样状态良好，他们在国王杯中以5-1大胜皇家贝蒂斯，2025年以来4场正式比赛全部获胜。巴萨作为一支历史悠久的俱乐部，本赛季在进攻端表现出色，是联赛中场均进球最多的球队。他们的前场三叉戟状态稳定，客场表现甚至优于主场，客场胜率高达70%。

从联赛近况来看，赫塔菲近6场比赛3胜3负，分胜负能力强，尽管进攻端表现平平，但主场场均仅丢半球的防守能力是他们主场拿分的关键，并且他们在指数上赢了4场，显示出球队的韧性。而巴塞罗那近6场联赛1胜2平3负，状态并不理想，连续的丢分让他们与西甲冠军渐行渐远。尽管进攻依然强大，但糟糕的防守是当前急需解决的问题。在历史交锋中，赫塔菲处于劣势，但赢指能力不错。

综合考虑，尽管巴塞罗那在联赛中的表现不佳，但他们在杯赛中的状态回升以及历史对阵的优势，使得市场对他们的关注仍然较高。因此，本场比赛更倾向于支持主队赫塔菲，认为巴塞罗那不宜高估。我们选择站在主队这一边。

结果预测

让胜/让平

温度：11-10-01

---------------------

Luka 深夜王牌，超重磅项目！

026 意甲 03:45 亚特兰大vs那不勒斯

Luka 足球 Model，免费公推！

010 22：30 德甲 拜仁vs沃尔夫斯堡